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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Wahda FC and Al Bataeh share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC and Al Bataeh finished level at 2-2 at Al Nahyan Stadium, Regular Season - 15, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Wahda FC 1.38 xG and Al Bataeh 0.91 xG, a combined 2.29. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Al Bataeh outscored their 0.91 projection by 1.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Wahda FC attack 1.18 / defence 0.72 against Al Bataeh attack 0.95 / defence 0.92, drawn from 40/40 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Wahda FC 48% | Draw 27% | Al Bataeh 25%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 48%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 67% and landed. Over 3.5 was 20% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Wahda FC 55%, Al Bataeh 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (40 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and conceded here.

Al Bataeh's trading profile (40 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 1.92 PPG against 0.95. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 1.05 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.15 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights