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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Wahda FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Ajman.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC beat Ajman 2-0 at Al Nahyan Stadium, Regular Season - 18, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Wahda FC 1.65 xG and Ajman 1.51 xG, a combined 3.16. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Ajman landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Wahda FC attack 1.14 / defence 0.86 against Ajman attack 1.16 / defence 1.09, drawn from 42/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Wahda FC 41% | Draw 24% | Ajman 35%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 41%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 61%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Wahda FC 57%, Ajman 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (42 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and duly kept one.

Ajman's trading profile (42 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 31% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 1.86 PPG against 1.29. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.15 average — tighter than their form line. Ajman (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.10 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights