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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Al-Jazira's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Jazira and Al Wahda FC finished level at 0-0 at Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, Regular Season - 12, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Jazira 1.91 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.40 xG, a combined 3.31. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Al-Jazira fell 1.9 short of their projected output. Al Wahda FC landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Jazira attack 1.15 / defence 0.99 against Al Wahda FC attack 1.01 / defence 0.89, drawn from 37/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Jazira 48% | Draw 25% | Al Wahda FC 27%, with Al-Jazira to win its most likely call at 48%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 25% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 86% and missed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 65% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Jazira 70%, Al Wahda FC 62%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 69%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Jazira's trading profile (37 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 73% of their matches — today it did not.

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (37 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al-Jazira 1.49 PPG, Al Wahda FC 1.70 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Al-Jazira (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.11 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.67 average — tighter than their form line. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.61 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights