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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Ain cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Al-Ittihad Kalba.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Ain beat Al-Ittihad Kalba 1-3 at Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium, Regular Season - 14, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Ittihad Kalba 1.15 xG and Al Ain 1.66 xG, a combined 2.81. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Al Ain outscored their 1.66 projection by 1.3. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Ittihad Kalba attack 0.93 / defence 1.02 against Al Ain attack 1.23 / defence 0.90, drawn from 39/39 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Ittihad Kalba 27% | Draw 24% | Al Ain 49%, with Al Ain to win its most likely call at 49%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. Over 3.5 was 31% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Ittihad Kalba 59%, Al Ain 67%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Ittihad Kalba's trading profile (39 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did.

Al Ain's trading profile (39 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Ain arrived the stronger side — 1.92 PPG against 1.23. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al-Ittihad Kalba (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.32 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al Ain (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.11 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights