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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Wahda FC cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Al Bataeh.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC beat Al Bataeh 1-3 at Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium, Regular Season - 26, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Bataeh 0.99 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.57 xG, a combined 2.56. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Al Wahda FC outscored their 1.57 projection by 1.4. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Bataeh attack 0.79 / defence 1.05 against Al Wahda FC attack 0.99 / defence 0.82, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Bataeh 23% | Draw 26% | Al Wahda FC 50%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 50%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. Over 3.5 was 25% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Bataeh 63%, Al Wahda FC 63%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 65%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Bataeh's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did.

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 1.71 PPG against 1.25. That form edge translated into the three points. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.96 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.64 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights