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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability β€” Friday 27 November 2026

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer β€” 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures clear the bar on Friday 27 November 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Grazer AK vs SCR Altach at 69% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria 69%
Grazer AK
– : – 18:30
SCR Altach
Win 52%
Draw 34%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63% Grazer AK Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 68%
Alanyaspor
– : – 17:00
Konyaspor
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#3 Premier League Β· England 65%
Nottingham Forest
– : – 20:00
Chelsea
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 63%
Pattani
– : – 12:00
Chiangrai United
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 58%
OH Leuven
– : – 19:45
Kortrijk
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 56%
VfL Bochum
– : – 17:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 56%
Francs Borains
– : – 19:00
AS Eupen
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 55%
Jong AZ
– : – 19:00
FC OSS
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 8 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Under 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Friday 27 November 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Grazer AK vs SCR Altach at 69% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.