Today's Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 4 August 2024

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Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 4 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Osters IF vs IK brage at 65% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the under 2.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Sweden 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 66% Osters IF Clean Sheet 57%

Eliteserien · Norway 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%

Superettan · Sweden 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Premier League · Russia 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Serie A · Brazil 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%

Premier League · Ukraine 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

Premier League · Ukraine 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

#10

Canadian Premier League · Canada 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%

#11

Eliteserien · Norway 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

#13

Super League · China 59%

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%

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Premier League · Ukraine 58%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#15

Eliteserien · Norway 57%

#16

Allsvenskan · Sweden 56%

Showing top 16 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 4 August 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Osters IF vs IK brage at 65% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.