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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 21 July 2024

Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23 Wed 24

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 July 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Skövde AIK vs IK brage at 75% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the under 2.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Sweden 75%

✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Allsvenskan · Sweden 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%

Eliteserien · Norway 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Super League · China 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Premier League · Russia 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Serie A · Brazil 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Serie A · Brazil 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%

K League 1 · South-Korea 60%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Serie A · Brazil 59%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%

#10

Eliteserien · Norway 59%

#11

Super League · Switzerland 58%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland 58%

#13

Superettan · Sweden 57%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%

#14

Serie A · Brazil 56%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 61% Bahia Clean Sheet 55%

#15

Superettan · Sweden 56%

#16

Ekstraklasa · Poland 55%

Showing top 16 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 21 July 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Skövde AIK vs IK brage at 75% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.