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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 21 April 2024

Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23 Wed 24

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 21 April 2024. Oddevold vs Gefle IF led the list at 78% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 59%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the under 2.5 goals market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Sweden 78%

Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 75%

Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 69% FC Porto Clean Sheet 53%

Premier League · Ukraine 74%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%

Süper Lig · Turkey 73%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

K League 1 · South-Korea 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Premier League · Russia 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Super League · China 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Serie A · Brazil 66%

Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 66%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%

#10

Premier League · Russia 66%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%

#11

Superettan · Sweden 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

#12

La Liga · Spain 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#13

Super League · Switzerland 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%

#14

Serie A · Italy 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Torino Clean Sheet 53%

#15

Championship · England 61%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%

#16

Serie A · Brazil 60%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%

#17

Serie A · Brazil 60%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#18

Serie A · Brazil 60%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

#19

Ligue 1 · France 60%

#20

Bundesliga · Austria 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 21 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Oddevold vs Gefle IF at 78% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.