🧊

Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 17 December 2023

Thu 14 Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 17 December 2023. Lazio vs Inter sits top on 67% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 1 supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the under 2.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Ligue 1 · France 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%

Ligue 1 · France 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Serie A · Italy 63%

Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

La Liga · Spain 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%

Ligue 1 · France 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%

Serie A · Italy 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#10

Ligue 1 · France 61%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece 60%

#12

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 59%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

#13

Primeira Liga · Portugal 59%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland 59%

#15

Ligue 1 · France 57%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 61% Marseille Clean Sheet 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 17 December 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lazio vs Inter at 67% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.