🧊

Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Saturday 28 October 2023

Wed 25 Thu 26 Fri 27 Sat 28 Sun 29 Mon 30 Tue 31

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 28 October 2023. Spezia vs Cosenza sits top on 78% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 63%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the under 2.5 goals market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy 78%

✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 68%

League Two · England 76%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 75%

✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 65%

Bundesliga · Austria 73%

Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Süper Lig · Turkey 71%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Galatasaray Clean Sheet 54%

Ligue 2 · France 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

League One · England 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

League One · England 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%

League One · England 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%

#10

League One · England 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

#12

Premier League · Ukraine 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#13

K League 1 · South-Korea 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#14

La Liga · Spain 66%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%

#15

Championship · England 66%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%

#16

Premier League · Ukraine 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#17

Serie B · Italy 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%

#18

Ligue 2 · France 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#19

Serie B · Italy 64%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#20

Ligue 2 · France 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Saturday 28 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Spezia vs Cosenza at 78% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.