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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability β€” Wednesday 7 June 2023

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer β€” 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Wednesday 7 June 2023. Jeonbuk Motors vs Daegu FC led the list at 67% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 58%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies four of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the under 2.5 goals market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 67%
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 64%
Lahti
1 : 2 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia 63%
Rodina Moskva
0 : 3 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia 62%
Enisey
0 : 1 FT
Fakel
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 62%
Inter Turku
2 : 1 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 29%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 61% Inter Turku Clean Sheet 53%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 59%
Incheon United
1 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 59%
Gwangju FC
2 : 1 FT
Suwon Bluewings
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 59%
Honka
2 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 58%
KuPS
1 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 9 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Under 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Wednesday 7 June 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Jeonbuk Motors vs Daegu FC at 67% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.