🧊

Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Saturday 10 September 2022

Wed 7 Thu 8 Fri 9 Sat 10 Sun 11 Mon 12 Tue 13

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 10 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Ceara vs Santos at 80% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 61%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the under 2.5 goals market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil 80%

Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 72%

Premier League · Ukraine 77%

Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 66%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%

Ligue 2 · France 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Premier League · Ukraine 71%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Ligue 2 · France 71%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Super League 1 · Greece 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 68% PAS Giannina Clean Sheet 58%

Serie A · Italy 69%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%

Allsvenskan · Sweden 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#10

Super League 1 · Greece 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

#13

Süper Lig · Turkey 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Konyaspor Clean Sheet 55%

#14

La Liga · Spain 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

#15

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

#16

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%

#17

K League 1 · South-Korea 63%

Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#18

Premier League · Russia 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%

#19

Eliteserien · Norway 61%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%

#20

Ligue 2 · France 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Saturday 10 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ceara vs Santos at 80% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.