🧊

Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Saturday 23 April 2022

Wed 20 Thu 21 Fri 22 Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 23 April 2022. Ural vs FC UFA led the list at 78% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 62%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the under 2.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Russia 78%

Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 68%

Primera División · Chile 74%

✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%

Thai League 1 · Thailand 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%

Primera División · Chile 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Serie A · Brazil 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 67% Fluminense Clean Sheet 53%

League Two · England 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 65%

Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#10

Premier League · Russia 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%

#11

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

#12

Bundesliga · Austria 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

#13

League Two · England 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#14

Premier League · Russia 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%

#15

Eredivisie · Netherlands 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

League One · England 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#17

Primeira Liga · Portugal 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#18

League Two · England 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#19

Süper Lig · Turkey 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%

#20

Serie A · Brazil 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Saturday 23 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ural vs FC UFA at 78% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.