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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 25 July 2021

Thu 22 Fri 23 Sat 24 Sun 25 Mon 26 Tue 27 Wed 28

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 25 July 2021. Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa led the list at 89% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 64%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the under 2.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Poland 89%

Under 2.5 89% BTTS No 77% Raków Częstochowa Clean Sheet 57%

Premier League · Ukraine 84%

Under 2.5 84% BTTS No 72%

Premier League · Ukraine 78%

✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Premier League · Ukraine 78%

Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 76%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 65%

K League 1 · South-Korea 75%

Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 65%

Primera División · Chile 74%

✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%

Primera División · Chile 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Serie A · Brazil 71%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%

#10

Primera División · Chile 71%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 60%

#11

Veikkausliiga · Finland 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%

#12

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%

#13

Ekstraklasa · Poland 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#14

Veikkausliiga · Finland 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#15

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#16

Primera División · Chile 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#17

Bundesliga · Austria 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 73% Austria Vienna Clean Sheet 70%

#18

Bundesliga · Austria 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 73% Wolfsberger AC Clean Sheet 70%

#19

2. Bundesliga · Germany 64%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#20

2. Bundesliga · Germany 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 25 July 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Piast Gliwice vs Raków Częstochowa at 89% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.