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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

11:00

Venue

Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zorya Luhansk Win

36%

Zorya Luhansk

2.79

30%

Draw

3.30

34%

Polessya

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Zorya Luhansk xG

Total xG

2.24

1.10

Polessya xG

36%
30%
34%
Zorya LuhanskDrawPolessya

2.79

36%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

33%

Zorya Luhansk

3.00

32%

Polessya

3.12

Win to Nil

12%

Zorya Luhansk

8.39

11%

Polessya

9.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 11.7 6.5 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 12.2 13.4 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.9 7.6 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.6 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.137
λ Away (xG) 1.099
Total xG 2.236
League avg home goals 1.169
League avg away goals 1.022
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 0.954
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 1.070
Polessya attack strength 1.004
Polessya defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58