Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

11:45

Venue

Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zorya Luhansk Win

29%

Vorskla Poltava

3.42

31%

Draw

3.23

40%

Zorya Luhansk

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Vorskla Poltava xG

Total xG

1.96

1.08

Zorya Luhansk xG

29%
31%
40%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawZorya Luhansk

3.42

29%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

34%

Vorskla Poltava

2.95

41%

Zorya Luhansk

2.42

Win to Nil

10%

Vorskla Poltava

10.09

16%

Zorya Luhansk

6.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 15.2 8.2 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 12.4 13.4 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 5.5 5.9 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.882
λ Away (xG) 1.082
Total xG 1.964
League avg home goals 1.169
League avg away goals 0.912
Vorskla Poltava attack strength 0.696
Vorskla Poltava defence strength 1.024
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 1.158
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 1.085
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 51