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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Thu 6 Mar 2025

11:00

Venue

Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vorskla Poltava Win

49%

Vorskla Poltava

2.06

29%

Draw

3.42

22%

Karpaty

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.2%

Draw

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Vorskla Poltava xG

Total xG

2.02

0.75

Karpaty xG

49%
29%
22%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawKarpaty

2.06

49%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

47%

Vorskla Poltava

2.13

28%

Karpaty

3.56

Win to Nil

23%

Vorskla Poltava

4.37

6%

Karpaty

16.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 10.0 3.8 0.9 0.2
1 16.8 12.7 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 10.6 8.0 3.0 0.8 0.1
3 4.5 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.269
λ Away (xG) 0.754
Total xG 2.023
League avg home goals 1.209
League avg away goals 0.915
Vorskla Poltava attack strength 0.840
Vorskla Poltava defence strength 1.124
Karpaty attack strength 0.733
Karpaty defence strength 1.249
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 19