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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

13:30

Venue

Zirka Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zorya Luhansk Win

30%

SK Poltava

3.36

29%

Draw

3.48

41%

Zorya Luhansk

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

SK Poltava xG

Total xG

2.21

1.22

Zorya Luhansk xG

30%
29%
41%
SK PoltavaDrawZorya Luhansk

3.36

30%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.41

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

29%

SK Poltava

3.39

37%

Zorya Luhansk

2.69

Win to Nil

9%

SK Poltava

11.39

15%

Zorya Luhansk

6.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 13.4 8.2 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 10.8 13.2 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 5.4 6.6 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.8 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.990
λ Away (xG) 1.222
Total xG 2.212
League avg home goals 1.095
League avg away goals 1.205
SK Poltava attack strength 0.856
SK Poltava defence strength 1.001
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 1.014
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 1.056
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 3 / 33