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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Metalist 1925 Kharkiv cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over SK Poltava.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv beat SK Poltava 0-2 at Zirka Stadium, Regular Season - 6, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SK Poltava 1.16 xG and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1.67 xG, a combined 2.84. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. SK Poltava fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SK Poltava attack 0.87 / defence 1.31 against Metalist 1925 Kharkiv attack 1.06 / defence 1.11, drawn from 5/5 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SK Poltava 27% | Draw 24% | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 49%, with Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win its most likely call at 49%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 40% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SK Poltava 60%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 20%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

SK Poltava's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 80% of their matches — today it did not.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv arrived the stronger side — 1.60 PPG against 0.80. The form guide was vindicated by the result. SK Poltava managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv conceded 0 against a 0.80 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights