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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

11:00

Venue

Zirka Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Win

27%

SK Poltava

3.77

24%

Draw

4.13

49%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

2.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

SK Poltava xG

Total xG

2.84

1.67

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG

27%
24%
49%
SK PoltavaDrawMetalist 1925 Kharkiv

3.77

27%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

2.03

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

19%

SK Poltava

5.33

31%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

3.20

Win to Nil

5%

SK Poltava

20.09

15%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

6.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 9.8 8.2 4.6 1.9 0.6
1 6.8 11.4 9.5 5.3 2.2 0.7
2 4.0 6.6 5.6 3.1 1.3 0.4
3 1.5 2.6 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.163
λ Away (xG) 1.673
Total xG 2.836
League avg home goals 1.210
League avg away goals 1.210
SK Poltava attack strength 0.867
SK Poltava defence strength 1.307
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv attack strength 1.058
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv defence strength 1.108
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 5