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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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LNZ Cherkasy cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over SK Poltava.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

LNZ Cherkasy beat SK Poltava 0-2 at Zirka Stadium, Regular Season - 13, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SK Poltava 0.83 xG and LNZ Cherkasy 1.92 xG, a combined 2.75. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. SK Poltava fell 0.8 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SK Poltava attack 0.92 / defence 1.36 against LNZ Cherkasy attack 1.08 / defence 0.79, drawn from 12/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SK Poltava 16% | Draw 21% | LNZ Cherkasy 63%, with LNZ Cherkasy to win its most likely call at 63%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SK Poltava 67%, LNZ Cherkasy 17%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 42%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

SK Poltava's trading profile (12 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.

LNZ Cherkasy's trading profile (12 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 17% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 67% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, LNZ Cherkasy arrived the stronger side — 1.92 PPG against 0.50. The form guide was vindicated by the result. SK Poltava (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward. LNZ Cherkasy (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights