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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

16:00

Venue

Arena Lviv

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

50%

Shakhtar Donetsk

1.98

26%

Draw

3.83

23%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

4.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Total xG

2.63

1.02

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG

50%
26%
23%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawMetalist 1925 Kharkiv

1.98

50%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

4.27

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

36%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.77

20%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

4.99

Win to Nil

18%

Shakhtar Donetsk

5.49

5%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

21.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.6 11.9 6.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.5 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.607
λ Away (xG) 1.019
Total xG 2.626
League avg home goals 1.189
League avg away goals 1.177
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.594
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.784
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv attack strength 1.104
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv defence strength 0.847
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 18