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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

13:30

Venue

Arena Lviv

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

53%

Shakhtar Donetsk

1.88

24%

Draw

4.19

23%

Karpaty

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

Total xG

3.01

1.15

Karpaty xG

53%
24%
23%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawKarpaty

1.88

53%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

32%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.16

16%

Karpaty

6.39

Win to Nil

17%

Shakhtar Donetsk

5.94

4%

Karpaty

27.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.7 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.2 10.6 6.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.8 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.3 6.1 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.4 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.855
λ Away (xG) 1.151
Total xG 3.006
League avg home goals 1.155
League avg away goals 1.257
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.665
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.941
Karpaty attack strength 0.973
Karpaty defence strength 0.965
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46