Ruh Lviv 0-0 Veres Rivne – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Veres Rivne at 42% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
Veres Rivne travel to Arena Lviv to take on Ruh Lviv in Premier League (matchday 27). The game is scheduled for Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 UK time.
Recent Form
Across their last 10 games, Ruh Lviv have gone 0W 1D 9L — a 0.10 PPG return. Last five: L D L L L. They are averaging 0.30 goals per game and conceding 2.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.10 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. Both teams have scored in just 30% of their matches, indicating a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring outcomes.
In front of their own supporters, Ruh Lviv have posted 2W 1D 7L from their last 10 home games — 0.70 PPG. At home they are averaging 0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their home PPG of 0.70 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.10 — Ruh Lviv are significantly better at home than their overall form suggests.
Looking at their last 10 matches, Veres Rivne stand at 2W 3D 5L — 0.90 PPG. Last five: W L W L D. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%). Both teams have scored in only 20% of their fixtures — a very low rate that strongly backs BTTS No.
When travelling, Veres Rivne have posted 2W 4D 4L from their last 10 away outings — 1.00 PPG. Away from home they average 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game.
Form points away from home here. Veres Rivne's 0.90 PPG return is 0.80 points per game ahead of Ruh Lviv's 0.10 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
Head to Head
The H2H picture is flat: the 9 H2H matches we hold have produced 4 wins for Ruh Lviv, 2 for Veres Rivne and 3 draws. Form and model data should carry more weight here.
The 9 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.8 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 8 Nov 2025, ended Ruh Lviv 0–1 Veres Rivne — a Veres Rivne win.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Ruh Lviv in-play tendencies (last 56 games, 28 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 71% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 72% of the time; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (home games); they fail to score in 45% of games.
Veres Rivne in-play tendencies (last 56 games, 28 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 75% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 56% of the time; of the 12 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 33%; of the 23 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 26%; BTTS occurs in 32% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games); they fail to score in 43% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Ruh Lviv 36% versus Veres Rivne 43%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Ruh Lviv 36% | Veres Rivne 45%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Ruh Lviv 1.18 xG and Veres Rivne 1.39 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Ruh Lviv attack 0.834 / defence 1.360 | Veres Rivne attack 0.822 / defence 1.106. League average goals — home 1.275 / away 1.246. Ruh Lviv's defence rating of 1.360 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing Veres Rivne's projected output up. Data: built from Ruh Lviv's last 56 games and Veres Rivne's last 56.
Result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 32% | Draw 27% | Veres Rivne 42%. Fair-value odds: Ruh Lviv 3.16 | Draw 3.75 | Veres Rivne 2.40. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 47% | BTTS Yes probability 52% | Total xG 2.57. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 47%/53% — the total xG of 2.57 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS Yes at 52% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Veres Rivne as the most likely outcome at 42% — marginal model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 27% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Veres Rivne offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.57 combined xG gives a 53% probability to Under 2.5 — low conviction — though the H2H data averaging 2.8 goals per game across 9 H2H matches points the other way.
Poisson assigns a 52% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: Ruh Lviv 50% (last 10 home games) | Veres Rivne 40% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne | Competition: Premier League, matchday 27 | Venue: Arena Lviv • Kick-off: Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 32% | Draw 27% | Veres Rivne 42% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 47% (Under 53%) | BTTS Yes 52% (No 48%) | xG Ruh Lviv 1.18 / Veres Rivne 1.39 • Poisson strength factors: Ruh Lviv attack 0.834 / def 1.360 | Veres Rivne attack 0.822 / def 1.106 | league avg home 1.275 / away 1.246 • Poisson stance: Veres Rivne (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.18
Ruh Lviv xG
Expected Goals
1.39
Veres Rivne xG
52%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne FAQs
What time does Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne kick off?
Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne kicked off at 12:00 UK time on Saturday 9 May 2026 at Arena Lviv.
What was the final score in Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Ruh Lviv 0 - 0 Veres Rivne.
Where is Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne being played?
The match is being played at Arena Lviv.
What competition is Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne part of?
Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne is a Premier League fixture (matchday 27) (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Our statistical model gives Ruh Lviv a 32% chance of winning, Veres Rivne a 42% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making Veres Rivne the favourite.
Will both teams score in Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Our model estimates a 52% probability that both Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 47%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (53%).
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Ruh Lviv's attack rating (0.83) and Veres Rivne's defence rating (1.11), the model arrives at 1.18 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Veres Rivne's attack versus Ruh Lviv's defence, projects 1.39 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Ruh Lviv's last 56 games and Veres Rivne's last 56 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.2%. Close behind: 0-0 (9.3%), 0-1 (9.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Veres Rivne Win
32%
3.16
27%
3.75
42%
2.40
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.7%
Away win
1 – 0
9.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.18
Ruh Lviv xG
Total xG
2.57
1.39
Veres Rivne xG
3.16
32%
Home win
3.75
27%
Draw
2.40
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.92
48%
BTTS No
2.09
Clean Sheet
25%
4.03
31%
3.24
Win to Nil
8%
12.74
13%
7.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 10.7 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.5 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 7.4 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.2%.
How many goals are Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne expected to score?
The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Ruh Lviv and 1.39 for Veres Rivne, a combined total of 2.57.
How confident is the prediction model for Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 56 outings, Ruh Lviv have picked up 1.04 PPG on a 15W 13D 28L record — L-D-L-L-L across the most recent five.
Veres Rivne's form line: 16W 18D 22L from 56 games, 1.18 PPG, last five W-L-W-L-D.
Form-wise this is close to level: Ruh Lviv on 1.04 PPG, Veres Rivne on 1.18. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Ruh Lviv have posted 1.00 PPG from their last 28 home games (7W 7D 14L).
On the road, Veres Rivne have gone 7W 8D 13L from their last 28 away games — 1.04 PPG when travelling.
The Goals Picture
Ruh Lviv are averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game recently; Veres Rivne are on 1.04 scored and 1.39 conceded.
Last 56 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Veres Rivne
Blended
Ruh Lviv (Home) vs Veres Rivne (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Veres Rivne
Blended
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne Form FAQs
What form are Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne in coming into this match?
Ruh Lviv have gone 15W 13D 28L in their last 56 games (1.04 PPG), while Veres Rivne have gone 16W 18D 22L in their last 56 (1.18 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Ruh Lviv at home or Veres Rivne away?
Veres Rivne's away record (1.04 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Ruh Lviv at home: 1.00 PPG; Veres Rivne away: 1.04 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The head-to-head numbers here are drawn from the 10 H2H matches in our data, going back to August 2021. All of them came in Premier League. The most recent was on 9 May 2026, roughly 6 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 22 Oct 2023, when Ruh Lviv won Veres Rivne 2-5 Ruh Lviv.
Ruh Lviv's record when hosting Veres Rivne specifically: 3W 2D 0L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
4
Ruh Lviv
4
Draws
2
Veres Rivne
Recent Meetings
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, Ruh Lviv have won 4, Veres Rivne have won 2, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 9 May 2026: Ruh Lviv 0-0 Veres Rivne.
Who has won more matches between Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne?
Ruh Lviv have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 71% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 25% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Veres Rivne are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 17% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Ruh Lviv 46%, Veres Rivne 32% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 46% (Ruh Lviv) and 46% (Veres Rivne).
On the defensive side: Ruh Lviv have failed to score in 36% of games; Veres Rivne in 54%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Ruh Lviv home games / Veres Rivne away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Veres Rivne Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 46% of Ruh Lviv's recent matches and 32% of Veres Rivne's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 46% of Ruh Lviv's recent games and 46% of Veres Rivne's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 71% of Ruh Lviv's recent matches and 75% of Veres Rivne's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Ruh Lviv's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Ruh Lviv and Veres Rivne finished level at 0-0 at Arena Lviv, Regular Season - 27, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 1.18 xG and Veres Rivne 1.39 xG, a combined 2.57. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Ruh Lviv fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Veres Rivne landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 0.83 / defence 1.36 against Veres Rivne attack 0.82 / defence 1.11, drawn from 56/56 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 32% | Draw 27% | Veres Rivne 42%, with Veres Rivne to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 40% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 36%, Veres Rivne 45%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 39%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (56 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 45% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Veres Rivne's trading profile (56 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 43% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Ruh Lviv 1.04 PPG, Veres Rivne 1.18 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.04 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.43 average — tighter than their form line. Veres Rivne (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.82 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.46 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.