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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Oleksandria cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Ruh Lviv.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Oleksandria beat Ruh Lviv 1-3 at Arena Lviv, Regular Season - 29, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 1.17 xG and Oleksandria 1.32 xG, a combined 2.49. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Oleksandria outscored their 1.32 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 0.74 / defence 1.23 against Oleksandria attack 0.86 / defence 1.24, drawn from 58/57 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 31% | Draw 30% | Oleksandria 39%, with Oleksandria to win its most likely call at 39%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. Over 3.5 was 24% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 41% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 35%, Oleksandria 47%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 40%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (57 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 37% of their matches — today it did.

Oleksandria's trading profile (57 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Oleksandria arrived the stronger side — 1.40 PPG against 0.98. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.38 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Oleksandria (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 0.97 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights