Ruh Lviv 0-0 Oleksandria – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Ruh Lviv at 47% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
Ruh Lviv welcome Oleksandria to Arena Lviv in Premier League (matchday 12). Kick-off is Saturday 28 October 2023 at 17:00 UK time.
Recent Form
Across their last 10 games, Ruh Lviv have gone 5W 4D 1L — a 1.90 PPG return. Last five: L D W D W. Offensively they are averaging 1.90 goals per game, with 1.00 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone.
Ruh Lviv at home: 4W 6D 0L from their last 10 home games — 1.80 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from their last 10 home games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Oleksandria — last 10 games: 1W 3D 6L — 0.60 PPG. Last five: D L L D L. Their scoring rate of 0.60 per game is modest, conceding 1.70 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
On the road, Oleksandria have gone 2W 5D 3L in their last 10 away fixtures (1.10 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from their last 10 away games (50%) — they are hard to break down on the road. Their away PPG of 1.10 exceeds their overall 0.60 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
On current form, Ruh Lviv have the edge — a 1.30 PPG advantage (1.90 vs 0.60) represents a meaningful gap. That momentum makes them the form-based pick, though if the outright price looks short, Draw No Bet is worth comparing.
H2H
There is little to separate the sides in our head-to-head data. From 3 H2H matches, Ruh Lviv have won 0, Oleksandria 0, with 3 draws — a balanced record that offers no clear steer on its own. With only 3 H2H matches to go on, treat this as a light input.
Scoring has been limited in the 3 H2H matches in our data, averaging 0.7 goals per game, which makes Under 2.5 the head-to-head-backed angle in the goals market. The most recent of those, on 4 Jun 2023, ended Ruh Lviv 0–0 Oleksandria — a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 0.7 goals per game, the H2H data points toward a tight, low-scoring contest — Under 2.5 is the stronger head-to-head angle regardless of which side wins.
In-Play Data
Ruh Lviv trading profile (last 40 games, 19 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 63% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; of the 8 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 25%; of the 13 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 46%; BTTS occurs in 68% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 37% of games (home games); they fail to score in 32% of games.
Oleksandria trading profile (last 40 games, 19 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 53% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 46% of the time; of the 11 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 27%; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 42% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Ruh Lviv 58% versus Oleksandria 55%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Ruh Lviv 45% | Oleksandria 45%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Ruh Lviv 1.25 xG and Oleksandria 0.78 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Ruh Lviv attack 1.046 / defence 0.817 | Oleksandria attack 0.773 / defence 1.059. League average goals — home 1.131 / away 1.229. Oleksandria's attack rating of 0.773 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 0.78. Data: built from Ruh Lviv's last 40 games and Oleksandria's last 41.
Result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 47% | Draw 30% | Oleksandria 23%. Fair-value odds: Ruh Lviv 2.13 | Draw 3.29 | Oleksandria 4.44. Ruh Lviv hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (30%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 33% | BTTS Yes probability 39% | Total xG 2.03. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 67% probability — total xG of 2.03 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match. BTTS No at 61% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Ruh Lviv as the most likely outcome at 47% — moderate model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Ruh Lviv offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.03 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 67% — strong conviction, supported by recent form (Ruh Lviv's last 10 home games and Oleksandria's last 10 away games) averaging 2.0 goals per game and the H2H data averaging 0.7 goals per game across 3 H2H matches.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 61% on No. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: Ruh Lviv 60% (last 10 home games) | Oleksandria 40% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria | Competition: Premier League, matchday 12 | Venue: Arena Lviv • Kick-off: Saturday 28 October 2023 at 17:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Ruh Lviv 47% | Draw 30% | Oleksandria 23% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 33% (Under 67%) | BTTS Yes 39% (No 61%) | xG Ruh Lviv 1.25 / Oleksandria 0.78 • Poisson strength factors: Ruh Lviv attack 1.046 / def 0.817 | Oleksandria attack 0.773 / def 1.059 | league avg home 1.131 / away 1.229 • Poisson stance: Ruh Lviv (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.25
Ruh Lviv xG
Expected Goals
0.78
Oleksandria xG
39%
BTTS
61%
Over 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
15%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria FAQs
What time does Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria kick off?
Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria kicked off at 17:00 UK time on Saturday 28 October 2023 at Arena Lviv.
What was the final score in Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Ruh Lviv 0 - 0 Oleksandria.
Where is Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria being played?
The match is being played at Arena Lviv.
What competition is Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria part of?
Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria is a Premier League fixture (matchday 12) (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Our statistical model gives Ruh Lviv a 47% chance of winning, Oleksandria a 23% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Ruh Lviv the favourite.
Will both teams score in Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Our model estimates a 39% probability that both Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (61%).
Will Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 33%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (67%).
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Ruh Lviv's attack at 1.05x the league average against Oleksandria's defence at 1.06x — combine the two and it projects 1.25 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Oleksandria's attack versus Ruh Lviv's defence, projects 0.78 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Ruh Lviv's last 40 games and Oleksandria's last 41 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-0 carries the highest individual probability at 14.8% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-0 (14.8%), 1-1 (14.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 44% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ruh Lviv Win
47%
2.13
30%
3.29
23%
4.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.5%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.2%
Draw
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.25
Ruh Lviv xG
Total xG
2.03
0.78
Oleksandria xG
2.13
47%
Home win
3.29
30%
Draw
4.44
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.56
61%
BTTS No
1.64
Clean Sheet
46%
2.17
29%
3.50
Win to Nil
22%
4.62
6%
15.54
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.2 | 10.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.5 | 12.8 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.3 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria expected to score?
The model projects 1.25 expected goals for Ruh Lviv and 0.78 for Oleksandria, a combined total of 2.03.
How confident is the prediction model for Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Across their last 40 outings, Ruh Lviv have picked up 1.27 PPG on a 12W 15D 13L record — L-D-W-D-W across the most recent five.
Oleksandria's form line: 11W 17D 12L from 40 games, 1.25 PPG, last five D-L-L-D-L.
Form-wise this is close to level: Ruh Lviv on 1.27 PPG, Oleksandria on 1.25. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
On home soil, Ruh Lviv have posted 1.53 PPG from their last 19 home games (6W 11D 2L).
On the road, Oleksandria have gone 3W 10D 6L from their last 19 away games — 1.00 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Ruh Lviv come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Goals in Recent Form
Ruh Lviv are averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game recently; Oleksandria are on 1.18 scored and 1.38 conceded.
Defensively: Oleksandria in 35% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 40 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Oleksandria
Blended
Ruh Lviv (Home) vs Oleksandria (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Ruh Lviv
Blended
Oleksandria
Blended
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria Form FAQs
What form are Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria in coming into this match?
Ruh Lviv have gone 12W 15D 13L in their last 40 games (1.27 PPG), while Oleksandria have gone 11W 17D 12L in their last 40 (1.25 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Ruh Lviv at home or Oleksandria away?
Ruh Lviv's home record (1.53 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Ruh Lviv at home: 1.53 PPG; Oleksandria away: 1.00 PPG.
Have Ruh Lviv or Oleksandria been keeping clean sheets recently?
Ruh Lviv have kept a clean sheet in 22% of their recent games, Oleksandria in 35%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
This section is based on the 9 H2H matches we hold for this pairing, spanning roughly 4 years from October 2021. All of them came in Premier League. The most recent was on 17 May 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Streaks & Records
Ruh Lviv's record when hosting Oleksandria specifically: 0W 4D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 9 Meetings
1
Ruh Lviv
7
Draws
1
Oleksandria
Recent Meetings
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria?
Across the 9 head-to-head matches in our data, Ruh Lviv have won 1, Oleksandria have won 1, and 7 have been drawn.
When did Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 17 May 2026: Ruh Lviv 1-3 Oleksandria.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 63% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 100% of those situations.
Oleksandria see a goal before the break in 53% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Ruh Lviv 68%, Oleksandria 53% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 37% (Ruh Lviv) and 42% (Oleksandria).
On the defensive side: Oleksandria in 42%; Oleksandria in 37%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Ruh Lviv home games / Oleksandria away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 68% of Ruh Lviv's games and 53% of Oleksandria's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 37% of Ruh Lviv's recent games and 42% of Oleksandria's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 63% of Ruh Lviv's recent matches and 53% of Oleksandria's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Ruh Lviv's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria finished level at 0-0 at Arena Lviv, Regular Season - 12, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 1.25 xG and Oleksandria 0.78 xG, a combined 2.03. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Ruh Lviv fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 1.05 / defence 0.82 against Oleksandria attack 0.77 / defence 1.06, drawn from 40/41 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 47% | Draw 30% | Oleksandria 23%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 33%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 61% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 45%, Oleksandria 45%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (40 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Oleksandria's trading profile (40 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Ruh Lviv 1.27 PPG, Oleksandria 1.25 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.42 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.89 average — tighter than their form line. Oleksandria (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.89 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.21 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.