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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Ruh Lviv cruise to a comfortable 4-2 victory over Kudrivka.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ruh Lviv beat Kudrivka 4-2 at Arena Lviv, Regular Season - 13, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ruh Lviv 1.43 xG and Kudrivka 1.11 xG, a combined 2.55. The scoreboard read 4-2 for 6 actual goals. Ruh Lviv beat their projection by 2.6 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Kudrivka outscored their 1.11 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ruh Lviv attack 0.83 / defence 1.29 against Kudrivka attack 0.63 / defence 1.55, drawn from 42/12 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ruh Lviv 44% | Draw 26% | Kudrivka 29%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 44%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 25% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ruh Lviv 36%, Kudrivka 64%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (14 games, 6 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did.

Kudrivka's trading profile (14 games, 6 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Kudrivka arrived the stronger side — 1.21 PPG against 0.57. Form was overturned, with Ruh Lviv winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 0.83 average — above their attacking norm. Kudrivka (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.50 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 4 against a 2.17 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights