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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Thu 6 Mar 2025

11:00

Venue

Tsentralnyi Stadion

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Polessya Win

47%

Polessya

2.12

28%

Draw

3.60

25%

Chornomorets

3.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Polessya xG

Total xG

2.25

0.90

Chornomorets xG

47%
28%
25%
PolessyaDrawChornomorets

2.12

47%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.99

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

41%

Polessya

2.47

26%

Chornomorets

3.86

Win to Nil

19%

Polessya

5.23

6%

Chornomorets

15.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 9.5 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.2 12.8 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 8.6 3.9 1.2 0.3
3 4.3 3.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.350
λ Away (xG) 0.903
Total xG 2.253
League avg home goals 1.209
League avg away goals 0.915
Polessya attack strength 0.959
Polessya defence strength 0.927
Chornomorets attack strength 1.065
Chornomorets defence strength 1.164
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49