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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Metalist 1925 Kharkiv run riot with a 4-0 hammering of Veres Rivne.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv beat Veres Rivne 4-0 at Tsentralnyi Stadion, Regular Season - 15, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.84 xG and Veres Rivne 0.67 xG, a combined 1.51. The scoreboard read 4-0 for 4 actual goals. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv beat their projection by 3.2 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv attack 0.77 / defence 0.70 against Veres Rivne attack 0.81 / defence 0.90, drawn from 22/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 37% | Draw 36% | Veres Rivne 27%, with Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win its most likely call at 37%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 19%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 45% and landed. Over 3.5 was 7% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 28% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 24% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 20%, Veres Rivne 28%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 34%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's trading profile (25 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 32% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 56% of the time, and duly kept one.

Veres Rivne's trading profile (25 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 48% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv arrived the stronger side — 1.80 PPG against 1.08. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 0.91 average — above their attacking norm. Veres Rivne (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.91 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.27 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights