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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Tsentralnyi Stadion

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

27%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

3.72

28%

Draw

3.58

45%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG

Total xG

2.27

1.32

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

27%
28%
45%
Metalist 1925 KharkivDrawShakhtar Donetsk

3.72

27%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

27%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

3.75

39%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.59

Win to Nil

7%

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

13.97

17%

Shakhtar Donetsk

5.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 13.6 9.0 4.0 1.3 0.3
1 9.8 12.9 8.6 3.8 1.2 0.3
2 4.7 6.2 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.5 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.950
λ Away (xG) 1.322
Total xG 2.272
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 1.221
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv attack strength 0.865
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv defence strength 0.869
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.246
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.874
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 34