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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Kryvbas KR edge out Kudrivka 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kryvbas KR beat Kudrivka 1-2 at Obolon Arena, Regular Season - 23, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kudrivka 0.96 xG and Kryvbas KR 1.04 xG, a combined 2.00. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Kryvbas KR outscored their 1.04 projection by 1.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kudrivka attack 0.81 / defence 1.12 against Kryvbas KR attack 0.80 / defence 0.98, drawn from 22/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kudrivka 32% | Draw 31% | Kryvbas KR 37%, with Kryvbas KR to win its most likely call at 37%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 32%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 59% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 40% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kudrivka 50%, Kryvbas KR 58%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kudrivka's trading profile (24 games, 12 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Kryvbas KR's trading profile (24 games, 12 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Kryvbas KR arrived the stronger side — 1.58 PPG against 1.00. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Kryvbas KR (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.17 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights