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Stalemate at Kudrivka's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk finished level at 0-0 at Avanhard, Final, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kudrivka 1.26 xG and Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.19 xG, a combined 2.46. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Kudrivka fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Ahrobiznes Volochysk landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kudrivka attack 0.91 / defence 1.13 against Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 30/0 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kudrivka 37% | Draw 29% | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 34%, with Kudrivka to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 71% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights