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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

16:00

Venue

Ukraina Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Karpaty Win

54%

Karpaty

1.86

26%

Draw

3.83

20%

Zorya Luhansk

5.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Karpaty xG

Total xG

2.70

0.97

Zorya Luhansk xG

54%
26%
20%
KarpatyDrawZorya Luhansk

1.86

54%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

5.00

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

38%

Karpaty

2.65

18%

Zorya Luhansk

5.63

Win to Nil

20%

Karpaty

4.92

4%

Zorya Luhansk

28.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 6.5 3.2 1.0 0.3
1 11.6 11.3 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.8 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.8 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.728
λ Away (xG) 0.975
Total xG 2.703
League avg home goals 1.220
League avg away goals 1.232
Karpaty attack strength 1.085
Karpaty defence strength 0.721
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 1.098
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 1.305
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59