Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Ukraina Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Karpaty Win

56%

Karpaty

1.78

22%

Draw

4.58

22%

SK Poltava

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Karpaty xG

Total xG

3.11

1.15

SK Poltava xG

56%
22%
22%
KarpatyDrawSK Poltava

1.78

56%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

32%

Karpaty

3.17

14%

SK Poltava

7.09

Win to Nil

18%

Karpaty

5.66

3%

SK Poltava

32.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.1 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.7 10.1 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.6 6.4 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.7 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.958
λ Away (xG) 1.154
Total xG 3.112
League avg home goals 1.233
League avg away goals 1.244
Karpaty attack strength 1.166
Karpaty defence strength 1.169
SK Poltava attack strength 0.794
SK Poltava defence strength 1.362
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 4