🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Dominant Kryvbas KR run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Ruh Lviv.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kryvbas KR beat Ruh Lviv 3-0 at Girnyk, Regular Season - 24, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kryvbas KR 1.44 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.81 xG, a combined 2.25. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Kryvbas KR beat their projection by 1.6 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Ruh Lviv landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kryvbas KR attack 1.12 / defence 1.15 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.62 / defence 1.04, drawn from 53/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kryvbas KR 52% | Draw 27% | Ruh Lviv 21%, with Kryvbas KR to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 66% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 39% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kryvbas KR 45%, Ruh Lviv 32%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 41%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kryvbas KR's trading profile (53 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one.

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (53 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 43% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Kryvbas KR arrived the stronger side — 1.58 PPG against 1.09. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Kryvbas KR (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.58 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.04 average — tighter than their form line. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.08 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights