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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Epitsentr Dunayivtsi cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Ruh Lviv.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi beat Ruh Lviv 2-0 at Ternopilsky Misky Stadion, Regular Season - 20, in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1.20 xG and Ruh Lviv 0.96 xG, a combined 2.17. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Ruh Lviv landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Epitsentr Dunayivtsi attack 1.15 / defence 1.20 against Ruh Lviv attack 0.68 / defence 0.88, drawn from 19/49 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 41% | Draw 29% | Ruh Lviv 29%, with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to win its most likely call at 41%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 37%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 64% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 43% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 60%, Ruh Lviv 40%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 38%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's trading profile (20 games, 10 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 40% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one.

Ruh Lviv's trading profile (20 games, 10 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 35% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 50% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.90 PPG, Ruh Lviv 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win broke the near-deadlock. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 2.20 average — tighter than their form line. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 0.80 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights