Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction & Preview
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Bukovyna at 39% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as Bukovyna face Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Bukovyna Stadium plays host to Bukovyna versus Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in Premier League (matchday 20). Kick-off: Saturday 20 March 2027 at 16:00 UK time.
Form
Bukovyna (all games): 1W 6D 3L across their last 10 — 0.90 PPG. Last five: L D L D D. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base.
Bukovyna's form when playing at home: 1W 6D 0L across their last 7 home games (1.29 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from their last 7 home games (57%) — they are an exceptionally hard side to score against at home.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's record over their last 10 games: 1W 4D 5L (0.70 PPG). Last five: L D L L D. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 1.40 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away from home: 1W 4D 5L from their last 10 away games — 0.70 PPG on the road. Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.90 PPG for Bukovyna against 0.70 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H History
Neither side has dominated the 1 H2H match in our data: 0 wins for Bukovyna, 0 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and 1 draw — leaving the H2H largely neutral. With only 1 H2H match to go on, treat this as a light input.
Goals have been at a premium in this fixture — just 0.0 per game across the 1 H2H match we hold, giving Under 2.5 a clear head-to-head base rate. The most recent of those, on 6 Sep 2026, ended Bukovyna 0–0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 0.0 goals per game, the H2H data points toward a tight, low-scoring contest — Under 2.5 is the stronger head-to-head angle regardless of which side wins.
Trading Data
Bukovyna goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 11 games, 5 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 80% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 20% of the time; of the 4 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 50%; BTTS occurs in 60% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 40% of games (home games); they keep a clean sheet 46% of the time; they fail to score in 54% of games.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 11 games, 5 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 80% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 80% of games (away games); they fail to score in 54% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Bukovyna 36% versus Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 36%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Bukovyna 36% | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 46%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Bukovyna 1.26 xG and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.95 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Bukovyna attack 0.847 / defence 0.900 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi attack 1.020 / defence 1.166. League average goals — home 1.278 / away 1.039. Data: built from Bukovyna's last 11 games and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's last 42.
Result probabilities: Bukovyna 39% | Draw 36% | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 24%. Fair-value odds: Bukovyna 2.53 | Draw 2.74 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4.15. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 36% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 38% | BTTS Yes probability 48% | Total xG 2.22. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 62% — total xG of 2.22 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS No at 52% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Bukovyna as the most likely outcome at 39% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 36% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Bukovyna if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.22 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 62% — a Poisson-only call with no corroboration from form or H2H.
Poisson assigns a 52% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral — both teams scored in: Bukovyna 43% (last 7 home games) | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 60% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Competition: Premier League, matchday 20 | Venue: Bukovyna Stadium • Kick-off: Saturday 20 March 2027 at 16:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Bukovyna 39% | Draw 36% | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 24% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 38% (Under 62%) | BTTS Yes 48% (No 52%) | xG Bukovyna 1.26 / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.95 • Poisson strength factors: Bukovyna attack 0.847 / def 0.900 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi attack 1.020 / def 1.166 | league avg home 1.278 / away 1.039 • Poisson stance: Bukovyna (39%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.26
Bukovyna xG
Expected Goals
0.95
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi xG
48%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
18%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi FAQs
What time does Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi kick off?
Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is scheduled to kick off at 16:00 UK time on Saturday 20 March 2027 at Bukovyna Stadium.
Where is Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi being played?
The match is being played at Bukovyna Stadium.
What competition is Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi part of?
Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is a Premier League fixture (matchday 20) (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
Our statistical model gives Bukovyna a 39% chance of winning, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 24% chance, and a 36% chance of a draw — making Bukovyna the favourite.
Will both teams score in Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both Bukovyna and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (52%).
Will Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 38%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (62%).
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from Bukovyna's attack rating (0.85) and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's defence rating (1.17), the model arrives at 1.26 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's attack (1.02x) against Bukovyna's defence (0.90x) — and the away total comes out at 0.95.
These ratings are built from Bukovyna's last 11 games and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's last 42 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.8%. Close behind: 0-0 (12.6%), 1-0 (12.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 40% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Bukovyna Win
39%
2.53
36%
2.74
24%
4.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.8%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
0 – 0
10.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.26
Bukovyna xG
Total xG
2.22
0.95
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi xG
2.53
39%
Home win
2.74
36%
Draw
4.15
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.08
52%
BTTS No
1.92
Clean Sheet
39%
2.60
28%
3.53
Win to Nil
15%
6.58
7%
14.67
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.9 | 10.4 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.8 | 13.1 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are Bukovyna and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi expected to score?
The model projects 1.26 expected goals for Bukovyna and 0.95 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, a combined total of 2.22.
How confident is the prediction model for Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 39%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 11 outings, Bukovyna have picked up 0.91 PPG on a 1W 7D 3L record — L-D-L-D-D across the most recent five.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's form line: 1W 4D 6L from 11 games, 0.64 PPG, last five L-D-L-L-D.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 0.91 PPG for Bukovyna against 0.64 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, Bukovyna have posted 1.40 PPG from their last 5 home games (1W 4D 0L). That's noticeably better than their 0.91 PPG overall — Bukovyna are a different proposition at home than their general record suggests.
On the road, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have gone 1W 1D 3L from their last 5 away games — 0.80 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Bukovyna come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
Bukovyna are averaging 0.73 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game recently; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are on 0.73 scored and 1.45 conceded.
Defensively: Bukovyna have kept a clean sheet in 45% of their games — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 11 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Bukovyna
Blended
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Blended
Bukovyna (Home) vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Bukovyna
Blended
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Blended
❓ Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Form FAQs
What form are Bukovyna and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in coming into this match?
Bukovyna have gone 1W 7D 3L in their last 11 games (0.91 PPG), while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have gone 1W 4D 6L in their last 11 (0.64 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Bukovyna at home or Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away?
Bukovyna's home record (1.40 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Bukovyna at home: 1.40 PPG; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away: 0.80 PPG.
Have Bukovyna or Epitsentr Dunayivtsi been keeping clean sheets recently?
Bukovyna have kept a clean sheet in 45% of their recent games, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in 27%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
Our data holds 1 H2H match between Bukovyna and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, the earliest from September 2026. All of them came in Premier League. The most recent was as recently as 6 September 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Last 1 Meetings
0
Bukovyna
1
Draws
0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Recent Meetings
❓ Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Bukovyna and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
Across the 1 head-to-head match in our data, Bukovyna have won 0, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have won 0, and 1 has been drawn.
When did Bukovyna and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 6 September 2026: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-0 Bukovyna.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Bukovyna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 100% of those situations.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 80% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 40% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 50% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Bukovyna 60%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 40% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 40% for Bukovyna and 80% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 20% and 40% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Bukovyna keep a clean sheet in 40% of their matches; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in 40%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Bukovyna home games / Epitsentr Dunayivtsi away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Bukovyna vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Bukovyna and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 60% of Bukovyna's recent matches and 40% of Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are Bukovyna and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 40% of Bukovyna's matches and 80% of Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's.
Do Bukovyna and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 80% of Bukovyna's recent matches and 80% of Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
The match report will be available once the game has finished.