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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

13:00

Venue

Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

30%

Uthai Thani

3.32

28%

Draw

3.53

42%

BG Pathum United

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Uthai Thani xG

Total xG

2.99

1.63

BG Pathum United xG

30%
28%
42%
Uthai ThaniDrawBG Pathum United

3.32

30%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

2.41

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

20%

Uthai Thani

5.08

26%

BG Pathum United

3.92

Win to Nil

6%

Uthai Thani

16.88

11%

BG Pathum United

9.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 8.2 6.6 3.6 1.5 0.5
1 6.9 11.1 9.1 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.7 7.6 6.2 3.4 1.4 0.4
3 2.1 3.5 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.366
λ Away (xG) 1.626
Total xG 2.992
League avg home goals 1.631
League avg away goals 1.372
Uthai Thani attack strength 0.829
Uthai Thani defence strength 1.151
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.030
BG Pathum United defence strength 1.011
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33