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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

11:30

Venue

Thalay Luang Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

33%

Sukhothai FC

3.03

33%

Draw

3.05

34%

BG Pathum United

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Sukhothai FC xG

Total xG

2.45

1.24

BG Pathum United xG

33%
33%
34%
Sukhothai FCDrawBG Pathum United

3.03

33%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

29%

Sukhothai FC

3.45

30%

BG Pathum United

3.36

Win to Nil

10%

Sukhothai FC

10.45

10%

BG Pathum United

9.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 10.7 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 13.0 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.3 7.8 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.6 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.211
λ Away (xG) 1.238
Total xG 2.449
League avg home goals 1.515
League avg away goals 1.092
Sukhothai FC attack strength 0.874
Sukhothai FC defence strength 1.062
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.067
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 38