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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Rayong FC edge out Uthai Thani 2-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Rayong FC beat Uthai Thani 2-1 at Rayong Provincial Stadium, Regular Season - 6, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Rayong FC 2.00 xG and Uthai Thani 1.25 xG, a combined 3.25. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Rayong FC attack 1.07 / defence 1.03 against Uthai Thani attack 0.96 / defence 1.26, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Rayong FC 53% | Draw 25% | Uthai Thani 22%, with Rayong FC to win its most likely call at 53%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Rayong FC 66%, Uthai Thani 43%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Rayong FC's trading profile (35 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did.

Uthai Thani's trading profile (35 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Rayong FC 1.06 PPG, Uthai Thani 1.11 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rayong FC win broke the near-deadlock.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights