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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

11:30

Venue

80th Birthday Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

23%

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

4.26

36%

Draw

2.78

41%

BG Pathum United

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

Nakhon Ratchasima FC xG

Total xG

2.05

1.19

BG Pathum United xG

23%
36%
41%
Nakhon Ratchasima FCDrawBG Pathum United

4.26

23%

Home win

2.78

36%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

30%

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

3.28

42%

BG Pathum United

2.36

Win to Nil

7%

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

13.98

17%

BG Pathum United

5.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 15.4 9.1 3.6 1.1 0.3
1 11.1 13.2 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 4.7 5.6 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.857
λ Away (xG) 1.189
Total xG 2.046
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.221
Nakhon Ratchasima FC attack strength 0.640
Nakhon Ratchasima FC defence strength 1.003
BG Pathum United attack strength 0.971
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 42