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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

11:00

Venue

Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

32%

Nakhon Pathom

3.15

28%

Draw

3.55

40%

BG Pathum United

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Nakhon Pathom xG

Total xG

2.52

1.35

BG Pathum United xG

32%
28%
40%
Nakhon PathomDrawBG Pathum United

3.15

32%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

26%

Nakhon Pathom

3.84

31%

BG Pathum United

3.23

Win to Nil

8%

Nakhon Pathom

12.09

12%

BG Pathum United

8.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 10.9 7.3 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.4 12.7 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.5 7.5 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.2 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.172
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 2.518
League avg home goals 1.599
League avg away goals 1.175
Nakhon Pathom attack strength 0.808
Nakhon Pathom defence strength 1.242
BG Pathum United attack strength 0.923
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53