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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

13:30

Venue

Thunderdome Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Muangthong United Win

48%

Muangthong United

2.07

27%

Draw

3.69

25%

Sukhothai FC

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Muangthong United xG

Total xG

3.13

1.29

Sukhothai FC xG

48%
27%
25%
Muangthong UnitedDrawSukhothai FC

2.07

48%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

28%

Muangthong United

3.62

16%

Sukhothai FC

6.32

Win to Nil

13%

Muangthong United

7.50

4%

Sukhothai FC

25.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.6 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.1 10.4 6.7 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.6 5.9 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.843
λ Away (xG) 1.287
Total xG 3.130
League avg home goals 1.689
League avg away goals 1.359
Muangthong United attack strength 1.024
Muangthong United defence strength 0.929
Sukhothai FC attack strength 1.019
Sukhothai FC defence strength 1.066
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30