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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

13:00

Venue

Thunderdome Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

BG Pathum United Win

22%

Muangthong United

4.47

35%

Draw

2.86

43%

BG Pathum United

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.4%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.80

Muangthong United xG

Total xG

1.98

1.18

BG Pathum United xG

22%
35%
43%
Muangthong UnitedDrawBG Pathum United

4.47

22%

Home win

2.86

35%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

31%

Muangthong United

3.26

45%

BG Pathum United

2.21

Win to Nil

7%

Muangthong United

14.58

19%

BG Pathum United

5.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8 16.4 9.7 3.8 1.1 0.3
1 11.0 13.0 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 4.4 5.2 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
3 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.795
λ Away (xG) 1.183
Total xG 1.978
League avg home goals 1.445
League avg away goals 1.052
Muangthong United attack strength 0.850
Muangthong United defence strength 1.120
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.004
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.647
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58