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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

12:00

Venue

Leo Chiangrai Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chiangrai United Win

38%

Chiangrai United

2.63

31%

Draw

3.21

31%

BG Pathum United

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Chiangrai United xG

Total xG

2.59

1.22

BG Pathum United xG

38%
31%
31%
Chiangrai UnitedDrawBG Pathum United

2.63

38%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

30%

Chiangrai United

3.38

25%

BG Pathum United

3.94

Win to Nil

11%

Chiangrai United

8.88

8%

BG Pathum United

12.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 9.1 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.3 12.5 7.6 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.6 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.2 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.371
λ Away (xG) 1.217
Total xG 2.588
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.185
Chiangrai United attack strength 0.984
Chiangrai United defence strength 0.995
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.033
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.914
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34