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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Buriram United cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Ratchaburi.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Buriram United beat Ratchaburi 2-0 at Chang Arena, Regular Season - 13, in the Thai League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Buriram United 1.73 xG and Ratchaburi 1.51 xG, a combined 3.24. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Ratchaburi landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Buriram United attack 1.31 / defence 0.95 against Ratchaburi attack 1.34 / defence 0.90, drawn from 41/41 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Buriram United 40% | Draw 29% | Ratchaburi 31%, with Buriram United to win its most likely call at 40%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 63%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 67% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Buriram United 76%, Ratchaburi 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Buriram United's trading profile (41 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and duly kept one.

Ratchaburi's trading profile (41 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Buriram United arrived the stronger side — 2.39 PPG against 1.83. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Buriram United (home/away splits) managed 2 against a 3.45 scoring average — below par going forward. Ratchaburi (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.20 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights