Buriram United vs Ratchaburi – Predictions
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Buriram United's attacking strength (1.31x league average) is weighed against Ratchaburi's defensive record (1.14x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 2.48. Flip it around — Ratchaburi's attack (1.01x) against Buriram United's defence (0.76x) — and the away total comes out at 0.85.
These ratings are built from 41/44 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 2-0, at 11.0%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.4%), 3-0 (9.1%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Buriram United Win
71%
1.40
19%
5.22
9%
10.63
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.0%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
3 – 0
9.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.48
Buriram United xG
Total xG
3.33
0.85
Ratchaburi xG
1.40
71%
Home win
5.22
19%
Draw
10.63
9%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
43%
2.35
8%
11.92
Win to Nil
30%
3.29
1%
126.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 8.9 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.0 | 9.4 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.1 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Buriram United vs Ratchaburi?
Our Poisson model rates 2-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.0%.
How many goals are Buriram United and Ratchaburi expected to score?
The model projects 2.48 expected goals for Buriram United and 0.85 for Ratchaburi, a combined total of 3.33.
How confident is the prediction model for Buriram United vs Ratchaburi?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 71%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.