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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

13:00

Venue

Chang Arena

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Buriram United Win

63%

Buriram United

1.59

23%

Draw

4.29

14%

BG Pathum United

7.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

Buriram United xG

Total xG

2.98

0.90

BG Pathum United xG

63%
23%
14%
Buriram UnitedDrawBG Pathum United

1.59

63%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

7.21

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

41%

Buriram United

2.47

13%

BG Pathum United

7.94

Win to Nil

25%

Buriram United

3.93

2%

BG Pathum United

57.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 4.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.6 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.6 6.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 3.9 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.072
λ Away (xG) 0.903
Total xG 2.975
League avg home goals 1.578
League avg away goals 1.153
Buriram United attack strength 1.464
Buriram United defence strength 0.828
BG Pathum United attack strength 0.946
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.897
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36