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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Khao Kradong Stadium

Competition

Thai League 1

Thailand

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Buriram United Win

70%

Buriram United

1.43

18%

Draw

5.60

12%

BG Pathum United

8.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.39

Buriram United xG

Total xG

3.28

0.90

BG Pathum United xG

70%
18%
12%
Buriram UnitedDrawBG Pathum United

1.43

70%

Home win

5.60

18%

Draw

8.33

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

41%

Buriram United

2.45

9%

BG Pathum United

10.89

Win to Nil

29%

Buriram United

3.49

1%

BG Pathum United

90.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.0 8.0 3.6 1.1 0.2
2 10.7 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.5 7.6 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 5.1 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.388
λ Away (xG) 0.895
Total xG 3.283
League avg home goals 1.663
League avg away goals 1.267
Buriram United attack strength 1.654
Buriram United defence strength 0.656
BG Pathum United attack strength 1.077
BG Pathum United defence strength 0.868
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57